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Biden’s Path to 400 Electoral Votes

It’s possible.

Peter Ramirez
5 min readOct 26, 2020

Before we get started, let me reiterate — Donald Trump can still win this election. (Don’t send this to me after the election if the president is reelected).

That being said, let’s have a little fun.

The Electoral College only requires a winning candidate to secure 270 electoral votes to become the president. But what if the polls are right this cycle? What if Biden’s large, consistent advantage over Trump actually exists? What if demography continues its steady march? What if close, toss up states turn blue? Could Biden not only cross 270 electoral votes, but 400 as well?

Bill Clinton came close in 1992, winning 370 electoral votes. Here’s Biden’s path to 400:

Step 1 — Defending “solid Democrat” and “likely Democrat” states.

Step one is the easy part. California, New York, Massachusetts, etc. Even in a tough election cycle, it would be hard for a Democrat to lose any of these states. Along with 17 of these states, there is also Maine’s first district (which casts a sole electoral vote apart from the state itself) and Washington, D.C.’s three electoral votes.

The “reddest” of these states would be Colorado, Maine, and Virginia. Clinton won all three states…

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Peter Ramirez
Peter Ramirez

Written by Peter Ramirez

political science researcher. former valedictorian. reader/writer. host of “Politics Mostly” podcast.

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